Nvidia’s Options Market Flips Traditional Skew Ahead of Earnings
Investors are closely watching Nvidia’s upcoming earnings report, but a less obvious story is unfolding in the options market. Typically, traders pay higher premiums for out‑of‑the‑money puts than for comparable calls, reflecting a bias toward protecting against downside risk. In Nvidia’s case, the opposite is occurring: short‑dated call options are priced above puts, indicating that the market perceives greater upside uncertainty than downside.
With the stock hovering around $222, implied volatility suggests a move of roughly $14 by the end of the week. This pricing creates a rare opportunity for options traders. One strategy involves constructing a zero‑cost collar: sell a $245 call for about $1.15 and use the proceeds to purchase a $205 put. The trade caps upside potential at approximately $23 per share while providing a floor that limits loss to $17 per share, delivering a balanced risk‑reward profile for shareholders.
Another approach targets bullish investors who prefer a defined‑risk play. By buying a $210/$240 call spread for roughly $13, traders can profit if Nvidia’s price jumps, with a potential gain of $17 against a maximum loss of $13. The spread aligns closely with the market’s implied move, offering an asymmetric payoff that benefits from a strong post‑earnings rally while limiting exposure if the stock stalls.
These unconventional option pricing dynamics underscore the heightened enthusiasm surrounding Nvidia and present a fleeting chance for traders to capitalize on market sentiment before the earnings announcement.